Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Beagle wins 56.2% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Thomas 51.6% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 78.8%
Defensive zone
Beagle 83.6%
Neutral zone
Thomas 50.6%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Beagle
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Beagle
Thomas
Last 10: Beagle 4-6 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
4
Beagle
Thomas
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
6
1
Beagle
Thomas
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
3
Beagle
Thomas
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
51.1% (5,350)
+6.4%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
55.8% (921)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
49.9% (691)
+4.3%
On even strength, Beagle has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Beagle is 56.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,004).
Beagle shoots right. Thomas is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,043).
Home / Away
Beagle
Thomas
Home
59.1% (3,228)
50.9% (3,458)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
52.3% (3,504)
By Period
Beagle
Thomas
P1
57.4%
50.6%
P2
57.1%
52.9%
P3
56.2%
50.8%
OT
41.3%
59.2%
Final 5 min
56.3%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 13:52 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 15:18 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 07:50 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 17:57 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 16:01 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 07:37 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 03:58 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 00:59 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 3 | 12:01 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 2 | 08:39 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 3 | 11:40 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 1 | 01:38 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 16:25 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 05:40 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 2 | 17:53 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |