Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Beagle wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.9% vs Thomas 49.9% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 85.4%
Defensive zone
Beagle 64.4%
Neutral zone
Thomas 58.8%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Beagle
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Beagle
Thomas
Last 10: Beagle 4-6 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
3
Beagle
Thomas
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
1
Beagle
Thomas
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
2
Beagle
Thomas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (353)
49.0% (910)
+8.2%
Power Play
87.5% (16)
53.5% (142)
+34.0%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (95)
53.3% (75)
-1.7%
On power play, Beagle has a +34.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Beagle is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Beagle shoots right. Thomas is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Beagle
Thomas
Home
62.0% (200)
47.3% (514)
Away
53.4% (264)
52.0% (613)
By Period
Beagle
Thomas
P1
55.8%
50.4%
P2
60.1%
47.5%
P3
54.5%
51.4%
OT
62.5%
61.5%
Final 5 min
63.6%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
57.1%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 13:52 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 15:18 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 07:50 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 17:57 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 16:01 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 07:37 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 03:58 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 00:59 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 3 | 12:01 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 2 | 08:39 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |