Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Beagle wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.9% vs Colton 51.8% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beagle 51.8%
Defensive zone
Beagle 87.3%
Neutral zone
Beagle 58.2%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Beagle
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Beagle
Colton
Last 9: Beagle 6-3 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
1
Beagle
Colton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
1
Beagle
Colton
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
1
Beagle
Colton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (353)
52.7% (524)
+4.5%
Power Play
87.5% (16)
50.9% (53)
+36.6%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (95)
0.0% (4)
+51.6%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +51.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Beagle is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Beagle shoots right. Colton is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (238).
Home / Away
Beagle
Colton
Home
62.0% (200)
52.9% (291)
Away
53.4% (264)
51.4% (290)
By Period
Beagle
Colton
P1
55.8%
50.6%
P2
60.1%
54.4%
P3
54.5%
51.6%
OT
62.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
63.6%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
57.1%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 19:34 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 19:20 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 16:38 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 16:33 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 03:54 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 18:58 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 07:40 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 00:05 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |