Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (84% H2H, 25 meetings). Beagle wins 56.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Johansen 53.3% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 34-20 in 54 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 65.9%
Defensive zone
Beagle 94.5%
Neutral zone
Beagle 75.3%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 76.6%
76.6%
23.4%
Beagle
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
34
-
20
(54 meetings)
34
20
Beagle
Johansen
Last 10: Beagle 3-7 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Beagle
Johansen
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
21
4
Beagle
Johansen
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
8
11
Beagle
Johansen
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
53.1% (11,017)
+4.4%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
56.2% (2,163)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
50.5% (978)
+3.7%
On even strength, Beagle has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Beagle is 56.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,004).
Beagle shoots right. Johansen is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (4,371).
Home / Away
Beagle
Johansen
Home
59.1% (3,228)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Beagle
Johansen
P1
57.4%
53.2%
P2
57.1%
53.9%
P3
56.2%
52.8%
OT
41.3%
58.2%
Final 5 min
56.3%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 06:02 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 05:54 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 01:53 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 18:29 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 05:55 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 17:47 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 1 | 12:44 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 15:31 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 09:44 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 06:53 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 00:13 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 18:32 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 07:39 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 09:20 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 09:12 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 3 | 19:16 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 3 | 05:53 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 08:52 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |