Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Beagle wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.0% vs Couturier 44.9% (+12.2%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 60.1%
Defensive zone
Couturier 62.4%
Neutral zone
Couturier 62.7%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Beagle
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Beagle
Couturier
Last 10: Beagle 4-6 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
3
Beagle
Couturier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Beagle
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
1
Beagle
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (318)
44.4% (448)
+11.3%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
57.7% (26)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (115)
36.7% (79)
+21.6%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Beagle is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Beagle shoots right. Couturier is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
Beagle
Couturier
Home
58.0% (226)
42.2% (296)
Away
54.1% (218)
45.9% (257)
By Period
Beagle
Couturier
P1
54.7%
44.0%
P2
57.7%
46.5%
P3
56.1%
41.4%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.9%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.1%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2013 | 1 | 05:19 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 27, 2013 | 3 | 07:22 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 27, 2013 | 2 | 17:03 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 1, 2013 | 3 | 16:01 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 1, 2013 | 3 | 06:44 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 1, 2013 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 1, 2013 | 3 | 01:49 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 1, 2013 | 1 | 18:35 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 1, 2013 | 1 | 11:57 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 1, 2013 | 1 | 09:47 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |