Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Beagle wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.9% vs Couturier 54.5% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 67.1%
Defensive zone
Beagle 63.1%
Neutral zone
Couturier 60.1%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Beagle
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Beagle
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Beagle
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beagle
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (353)
57.4% (303)
-0.2%
Power Play
87.5% (16)
65.5% (55)
+22.0%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (95)
40.0% (70)
+11.6%
On power play, Beagle has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Beagle is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Beagle shoots right. Couturier is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Beagle
Couturier
Home
62.0% (200)
54.3% (219)
Away
53.4% (264)
56.9% (209)
By Period
Beagle
Couturier
P1
55.8%
53.2%
P2
60.1%
54.8%
P3
54.5%
57.9%
OT
62.5%
71.4%
Final 5 min
63.6%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
57.1%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2021 | 3 | 13:04 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 3 | 03:49 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 2 | 17:22 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |