Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Beagle wins 62.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.2% vs Stamkos 45.8% (+12.2%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Beagle 50.7%
Defensive zone
Beagle 85.6%
Neutral zone
Beagle 79.0%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Beagle
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Beagle
Stamkos
Last 10: Beagle 6-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
4
3
Beagle
Stamkos
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
0
Beagle
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Beagle
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
60.7% (173)
45.6% (1,055)
+15.1%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
46.6% (116)
-21.6%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (34)
42.1% (38)
+2.0%
On power play, Stamkos has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Beagle is 62.9% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Beagle shoots right. Stamkos is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Home / Away
Beagle
Stamkos
Home
58.3% (115)
48.4% (636)
Away
57.0% (100)
42.3% (591)
By Period
Beagle
Stamkos
P1
57.1%
45.7%
P2
55.6%
46.8%
P3
62.1%
43.7%
OT
42.9%
48.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
57.7%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2012 | 3 | 18:45 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 2, 2012 | 3 | 18:33 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 2, 2012 | 2 | 16:42 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 2, 2012 | 2 | 10:06 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 2, 2012 | 1 | 06:13 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 16:02 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 17:32 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 14:38 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 17:08 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 14:08 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 04:36 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 00:30 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 00:27 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |