Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Beagle wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Nosek 53.6% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beagle 52.0%
Defensive zone
Beagle 87.5%
Neutral zone
Beagle 72.1%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 81.7%
81.7%
18.3%
Beagle
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Beagle
Nosek
Last 8: Beagle 6-2 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
5
0
Beagle
Nosek
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
2
Beagle
Nosek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
54.9% (2,674)
+2.6%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
44.7% (47)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
47.4% (424)
+6.8%
On power play, Beagle has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Beagle shoots right. Nosek is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,203).
Home / Away
Beagle
Nosek
Home
59.1% (3,228)
52.7% (1,631)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
54.8% (1,514)
By Period
Beagle
Nosek
P1
57.4%
52.3%
P2
57.1%
54.0%
P3
56.2%
54.6%
OT
41.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 14:10 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 17:39 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 19:18 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 14:43 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 13:15 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 09:45 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 03:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 1 | 02:22 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |