Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Beagle wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.9% vs Nosek 53.4% (+3.2%)
Offensive zone
Nosek 50.2%
Defensive zone
Beagle 53.8%
Neutral zone
Beagle 51.6%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Beagle
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (353)
55.1% (557)
+2.1%
Power Play
87.5% (16)
50.0% (4)
+37.5%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (95)
47.7% (111)
+3.9%
On power play, Beagle has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Beagle is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Beagle shoots right. Nosek is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Beagle
Nosek
Home
62.0% (200)
52.3% (342)
Away
53.4% (264)
55.5% (330)
By Period
Beagle
Nosek
P1
55.8%
49.0%
P2
60.1%
53.8%
P3
54.5%
57.9%
Final 5 min
63.6%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
57.1%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.9%