Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Beagle wins 61.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 58.0% vs Nosek 50.1% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 77.8%
Defensive zone
Beagle 93.2%
Neutral zone
Beagle 81.6%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 88.8%
88.8%
11.2%
Beagle
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Beagle
Nosek
Last 8: Beagle 6-2 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
5
0
Beagle
Nosek
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
2
Beagle
Nosek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (458)
51.2% (377)
+7.8%
Power Play
84.2% (19)
50.0% (10)
+34.2%
Penalty Kill
57.2% (201)
41.3% (46)
+15.9%
On power play, Beagle has a +34.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Beagle is 61.9% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Beagle shoots right. Nosek is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Beagle
Nosek
Home
62.7% (306)
48.3% (240)
Away
56.2% (372)
52.3% (193)
By Period
Beagle
Nosek
P1
64.5%
48.4%
P2
56.7%
51.4%
P3
56.2%
50.8%
Final 5 min
62.8%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
59.1%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 14:10 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 17:39 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 19:18 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 14:43 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 13:15 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 09:45 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 03:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 1 | 02:22 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |