Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Beagle wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 57.0% vs Plekanec 49.8% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Plekanec leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Plekanec 76.2%
Defensive zone
Beagle 55.8%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 59.3%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Beagle
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Beagle
Plekanec
Last 10: Beagle 4-6 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
2
Beagle
Plekanec
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
5
2
Beagle
Plekanec
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
4
Beagle
Plekanec
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (485)
49.8% (1,199)
+8.3%
Power Play
84.6% (13)
51.7% (240)
+32.9%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (139)
47.2% (176)
+8.2%
On power play, Beagle has a +32.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Beagle is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Beagle shoots right. Plekanec is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (629).
Home / Away
Beagle
Plekanec
Home
57.0% (307)
48.9% (807)
Away
59.1% (330)
50.6% (808)
By Period
Beagle
Plekanec
P1
59.1%
52.2%
P2
59.8%
49.4%
P3
56.4%
47.4%
OT
20.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
58.9%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
58.1%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2015 | 3 | 17:35 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 3 | 15:44 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 3 | 00:59 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 2 | 19:49 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 2 | 17:39 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 1 | 12:12 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 1 | 12:06 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 1 | 06:45 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 1 | 00:18 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 2 | 18:44 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 2 | 16:06 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 2 | 07:29 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |