Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 29 meetings). Beagle wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Plekanec 50.1% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 37-25 in 62 meetings
Offensive zone
Beagle 55.4%
Defensive zone
Beagle 92.8%
Neutral zone
Beagle 81.9%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 82.7%
82.7%
17.3%
Beagle
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
37
-
25
(62 meetings)
37
25
Beagle
Plekanec
Last 10: Beagle 8-2 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
3
7
Beagle
Plekanec
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
20
9
Beagle
Plekanec
29 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
14
9
Beagle
Plekanec
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
50.8% (8,558)
+6.7%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
51.3% (1,151)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
46.0% (1,924)
+8.2%
On power play, Beagle has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Beagle shoots right. Plekanec is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,678).
Home / Away
Beagle
Plekanec
Home
59.1% (3,228)
51.1% (5,909)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
49.1% (5,818)
By Period
Beagle
Plekanec
P1
57.4%
52.5%
P2
57.1%
48.9%
P3
56.2%
49.0%
OT
41.3%
51.1%
Final 5 min
56.3%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2018 | 2 | 07:22 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 1 | 05:14 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 19, 2018 | 3 | 08:16 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 19, 2018 | 1 | 19:36 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 19, 2018 | 1 | 09:30 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 13:23 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 13:25 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 07:43 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 05:20 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 04:50 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 03:15 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 02:56 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 9, 2017 | 3 | 11:56 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 9, 2017 | 3 | 10:06 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 9, 2017 | 3 | 06:49 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 9, 2017 | 2 | 19:13 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 3 | 17:35 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 3 | 15:44 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 3 | 00:59 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |