Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Beagle wins 59.0% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 57.7% vs Seguin 54.5% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 57.8%
Defensive zone
Beagle 82.4%
Neutral zone
Beagle 68.9%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 70.3%
70.3%
29.7%
Beagle
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Beagle
Seguin
Last 10: Beagle 7-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Beagle
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
0
Beagle
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
4
2
Beagle
Seguin
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (735)
55.1% (1,036)
+5.2%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
56.9% (174)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
53.9% (256)
52.2% (230)
+1.7%
On power play, Seguin has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Beagle is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (293).
Beagle shoots right. Seguin is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Beagle
Seguin
Home
61.9% (475)
58.9% (703)
Away
55.4% (523)
51.0% (737)
By Period
Beagle
Seguin
P1
60.5%
54.5%
P2
54.4%
53.7%
P3
61.3%
57.0%
OT
33.3%
45.8%
Final 5 min
60.6%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
58.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 13:41 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 01:50 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 00:11 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 1 | 14:52 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 3 | 07:02 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 3 | 01:31 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 2 | 14:52 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 2 | 13:12 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 01:25 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |