Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings). Beagle wins 56.2% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Seguin 53.6% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 20-11 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 62.8%
Defensive zone
Beagle 92.9%
Neutral zone
Beagle 74.8%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 72.7%
72.7%
27.3%
Beagle
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
11
(31 meetings)
20
11
Beagle
Seguin
Last 10: Beagle 6-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
6
Beagle
Seguin
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
10
1
Beagle
Seguin
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
9
4
Beagle
Seguin
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
53.7% (8,071)
+3.8%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
55.9% (810)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
49.3% (762)
+4.9%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Beagle is 56.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,004).
Beagle shoots right. Seguin is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,846).
Home / Away
Beagle
Seguin
Home
59.1% (3,228)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Beagle
Seguin
P1
57.4%
52.8%
P2
57.1%
53.3%
P3
56.2%
54.7%
OT
41.3%
54.7%
Final 5 min
56.3%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 05:09 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 3 | 03:59 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 01:09 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 18:08 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 13:23 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 08:36 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 06:15 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 04:30 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 01:51 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 17, 2019 | OT | 04:58 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 3 | 18:43 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 3 | 16:50 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 13:41 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 01:50 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 00:11 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 1 | 14:52 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 3 | 07:02 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |