Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Beagle wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.5% vs Seguin 53.6% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 66.4%
Defensive zone
Beagle 87.7%
Neutral zone
Beagle 68.2%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Beagle
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Beagle
Seguin
Last 10: Beagle 7-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Beagle
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
5
1
Beagle
Seguin
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
1
Beagle
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (572)
53.9% (996)
+3.8%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
56.4% (94)
-27.8%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (179)
52.1% (165)
+0.4%
On power play, Seguin has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Beagle is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Beagle shoots right. Seguin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (382).
Home / Away
Beagle
Seguin
Home
58.2% (378)
55.9% (633)
Away
54.2% (380)
51.8% (622)
By Period
Beagle
Seguin
P1
58.8%
55.8%
P2
51.9%
51.7%
P3
58.1%
54.5%
OT
50.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
57.1%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2019 | 3 | 03:59 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 01:09 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 18:08 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 13:23 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 08:36 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 06:15 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 04:30 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 01:51 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 17, 2019 | OT | 04:58 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 3 | 18:43 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 3 | 16:50 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |