Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Beagle wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.8% vs Karlsson 45.8% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Beagle 67.2%
Defensive zone
Beagle 90.4%
Neutral zone
Beagle 75.1%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 79.5%
79.5%
20.5%
Beagle
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Beagle
Karlsson
Last 10: Beagle 8-2 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Beagle
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
5
0
Beagle
Karlsson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
1
Beagle
Karlsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (799)
47.2% (786)
+9.6%
Power Play
64.7% (17)
54.5% (11)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
54.6% (291)
35.6% (163)
+19.0%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Beagle is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Beagle shoots right. Karlsson is 36.7% vs right-shot opponents (371).
Home / Away
Beagle
Karlsson
Home
57.6% (552)
46.4% (478)
Away
55.1% (555)
44.2% (482)
By Period
Beagle
Karlsson
P1
56.9%
44.8%
P2
59.0%
45.6%
P3
54.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.4%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 02:56 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 1 | 17:06 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 3 | 08:04 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 1 | 07:29 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 1 | 07:22 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 2 | 15:42 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 1 | 19:34 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 1 | 09:53 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 09:01 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |