Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 12 meetings). Beagle wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Karlsson 51.3% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 19-13 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 50.7%
Defensive zone
Beagle 95.7%
Neutral zone
Beagle 78.6%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Beagle
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
13
(32 meetings)
19
13
Beagle
Karlsson
Last 10: Beagle 5-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
3
10
Beagle
Karlsson
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
12
0
Beagle
Karlsson
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
4
3
Beagle
Karlsson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
51.8% (7,849)
+5.7%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
54.8% (1,048)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
44.2% (1,109)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Beagle shoots right. Karlsson is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,455).
Home / Away
Beagle
Karlsson
Home
59.1% (3,228)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Beagle
Karlsson
P1
57.4%
50.3%
P2
57.1%
51.3%
P3
56.2%
52.4%
OT
41.3%
44.9%
Final 5 min
56.3%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 03:21 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 04:10 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 05:58 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 06:15 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 19:32 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 1 | 06:04 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 3 | 18:28 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 3 | 18:19 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 2 | 16:05 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 2 | 12:01 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 2 | 11:54 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 05:49 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 1 | 13:10 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 1 | 03:25 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 4, 2018 | 3 | 07:00 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 4, 2018 | 2 | 18:16 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 19:36 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 02:56 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |