Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Beagle wins 56.2% vs right-shot opponents — Dalpe shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Dalpe 47.0% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dalpe 51.5%
Defensive zone
Beagle 91.4%
Neutral zone
Beagle 81.6%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 88.2%
88.2%
11.8%
Beagle
Dalpe
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Beagle
Dalpe
Last 6: Beagle 4-2 Dalpe
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
1
Beagle
Dalpe
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Beagle
Dalpe
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Dalpe
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
46.3% (458)
+11.2%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
65.0% (20)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
25.0% (12)
+29.2%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dalpe shoots right. Beagle is 56.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,004).
Beagle shoots right. Dalpe is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Beagle
Dalpe
Home
59.1% (3,228)
45.8% (238)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
47.0% (253)
By Period
Beagle
Dalpe
P1
57.4%
44.6%
P2
57.1%
50.6%
P3
56.2%
43.6%
Final 5 min
56.3%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Dalpe
60.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2014 | 3 | 05:46 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 2 | 11:45 | Defensive | Zac Dalpe |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 1 | 08:17 | Neutral | Zac Dalpe |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 1 | 04:44 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 1 | 01:51 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 1 | 01:46 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |