Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kelly wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — McClement shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 49.0% vs McClement 53.4% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McClement 61.8%
Defensive zone
McClement 81.3%
Neutral zone
McClement 76.1%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Kelly
McClement
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kelly
McClement
Last 6: Kelly 4-2 McClement
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
1
Kelly
McClement
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
McClement
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
McClement
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (456)
55.7% (927)
-5.7%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
75.0% (12)
-35.0%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (118)
47.0% (321)
-2.1%
On power play, McClement has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McClement shoots left. Kelly is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (346).
Kelly shoots left. McClement is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Home / Away
Kelly
McClement
Home
51.4% (350)
55.9% (571)
Away
45.0% (229)
51.8% (689)
By Period
Kelly
McClement
P1
46.9%
55.8%
P2
53.6%
52.3%
P3
46.8%
53.3%
OT
0.0%
52.4%
Final 5 min
47.8%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
48.9%
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2014 | 2 | 08:48 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 3 | 11:08 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 1 | 17:24 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 1 | 11:36 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 1 | 06:00 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 1 | 01:19 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |