Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Emmerton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 48.7% vs McClement 51.2% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Emmerton 78.2%
Defensive zone
McClement 86.4%
Neutral zone
McClement 66.9%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Emmerton
McClement
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Emmerton
McClement
Last 8: Emmerton 5-3 McClement
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Emmerton
3
0
Emmerton
McClement
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
1
2
Emmerton
McClement
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Emmerton
McClement
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
McClement
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (299)
54.5% (591)
-6.3%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
40.0% (10)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
44.9% (263)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, Emmerton has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McClement shoots left. Emmerton is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Emmerton shoots left. McClement is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (590).
Home / Away
Emmerton
McClement
Home
49.7% (183)
55.5% (422)
Away
46.2% (130)
47.5% (451)
By Period
Emmerton
McClement
P1
45.5%
50.2%
P2
50.0%
49.5%
P3
49.4%
54.3%
Final 5 min
46.2%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
48.2%
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2012 | 2 | 14:45 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 2 | 06:19 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 2 | 02:42 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 1 | 08:13 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 1 | 05:25 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 2 | 06:22 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 1 | 04:57 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 05:20 | Neutral | Jay McClement |