Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.3% vs McClement 51.2% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
McClement leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Arnott 85.6%
Defensive zone
McClement 79.6%
Neutral zone
McClement 51.6%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Arnott
McClement
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Arnott
McClement
Last 10: Arnott 4-6 McClement
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Arnott
McClement
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
1
4
Arnott
McClement
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
2
3
Arnott
McClement
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
McClement
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (667)
54.5% (591)
-4.0%
Power Play
49.4% (89)
40.0% (10)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
44.9% (263)
+15.1%
On penalty kill, Arnott has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McClement shoots left. Arnott is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Arnott shoots right. McClement is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Arnott
McClement
Home
53.1% (431)
55.5% (422)
Away
46.7% (338)
47.5% (451)
By Period
Arnott
McClement
P1
46.9%
50.2%
P2
52.9%
49.5%
P3
50.4%
54.3%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.6%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 07:12 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 04:03 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 08:48 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 01:01 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 04:26 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 3 | 13:56 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 2 | 17:05 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 2 | 16:52 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 2 | 10:52 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 2 | 01:30 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 1 | 05:31 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 2 | 05:39 | Neutral | Jay McClement |