Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 51.2% vs Skinner 45.2% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 62.1%
Defensive zone
McClement 91.3%
Neutral zone
McClement 69.0%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
McClement
Skinner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McClement
Skinner
Last 5: McClement 3-2 Skinner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McClement
2
0
McClement
Skinner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
0
1
McClement
Skinner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McClement
Skinner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Skinner
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (591)
41.6% (149)
+12.9%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
60.0% (5)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (263)
40.0% (5)
+4.9%
On power play, Skinner has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Skinner shoots left. McClement is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (590).
McClement shoots left. Skinner is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
McClement
Skinner
Home
55.5% (422)
46.8% (77)
Away
47.5% (451)
37.8% (82)
By Period
McClement
Skinner
P1
50.2%
45.6%
P2
49.5%
40.4%
P3
54.3%
40.4%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.2%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
51.3%
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2012 | 3 | 05:52 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 3 | 01:04 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 2 | 08:11 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 1 | 07:22 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 1 | 04:44 | Defensive | Jeff Skinner |