Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McClement wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Skinner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 52.7% vs Skinner 44.7% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Skinner leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Skinner 92.7%
Defensive zone
McClement 90.7%
Neutral zone
McClement 52.0%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
McClement
Skinner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
McClement
Skinner
Last 10: McClement 5-5 Skinner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
McClement
Skinner
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
2
1
McClement
Skinner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Skinner
1
2
McClement
Skinner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Skinner
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (4,305)
42.3% (1,317)
+12.1%
Power Play
62.5% (104)
52.0% (404)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,440)
33.3% (15)
+13.9%
On penalty kill, McClement has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Skinner shoots left. McClement is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
McClement shoots left. Skinner is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,097).
Home / Away
McClement
Skinner
Home
55.4% (2,788)
48.2% (949)
Away
50.4% (3,083)
39.9% (791)
By Period
McClement
Skinner
P1
53.5%
41.6%
P2
52.0%
46.0%
P3
53.2%
46.4%
OT
47.9%
23.5%
Final 5 min
52.4%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2014 | 3 | 17:53 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 3 | 04:44 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 2 | 11:17 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 2 | 03:54 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 1 | 14:14 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 3 | 05:52 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 3 | 01:04 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 2 | 08:11 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 1 | 07:22 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 1 | 04:44 | Defensive | Jeff Skinner |