Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. McClement wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Skinner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 53.4% vs Skinner 48.3% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 80.9%
Defensive zone
McClement 83.1%
Neutral zone
Skinner 52.9%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
McClement
Skinner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
McClement
Skinner
Last 5: McClement 2-3 Skinner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
0
2
McClement
Skinner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
2
0
McClement
Skinner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Skinner
0
1
McClement
Skinner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Skinner
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (927)
48.9% (45)
+6.8%
Power Play
75.0% (12)
16.7% (6)
+58.3%
On power play, McClement has a +58.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Skinner shoots left. McClement is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (811).
McClement shoots left. Skinner is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (29).
Home / Away
McClement
Skinner
Home
55.9% (571)
44.7% (38)
Away
51.8% (689)
46.2% (13)
By Period
McClement
Skinner
P1
55.8%
43.8%
P2
52.3%
36.4%
P3
53.3%
66.7%
OT
52.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
62.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
53.7%
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2014 | 3 | 17:53 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 3 | 04:44 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 2 | 11:17 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 2 | 03:54 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 1 | 14:14 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |