Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McClement wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 52.7% vs Larsson 49.5% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larsson 67.6%
Defensive zone
Larsson 66.8%
Neutral zone
Larsson 69.2%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 67.7%
32.3%
67.7%
McClement
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
McClement
Larsson
Last 8: McClement 1-7 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
3
McClement
Larsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
2
McClement
Larsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
2
McClement
Larsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (4,305)
50.5% (4,382)
+3.9%
Power Play
62.5% (104)
47.7% (153)
+14.8%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,440)
43.8% (714)
+3.4%
On power play, McClement has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. McClement is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
McClement shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Home / Away
McClement
Larsson
Home
55.4% (2,788)
51.2% (2,493)
Away
50.4% (3,083)
48.0% (2,756)
By Period
McClement
Larsson
P1
53.5%
51.6%
P2
52.0%
49.7%
P3
53.2%
47.2%
OT
47.9%
52.3%
Final 5 min
52.4%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 17:32 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 1 | 12:02 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 3 | 10:33 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 2 | 18:38 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 2 | 04:44 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 1 | 19:18 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 3 | 03:14 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 1 | 15:03 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |