Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Erat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 51.2% vs Erat 48.7% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Erat 88.1%
Defensive zone
McClement 83.6%
Neutral zone
Erat 57.0%
Result
Martin Erat favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
McClement
Erat
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
McClement
Erat
Last 7: McClement 2-5 Erat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Erat
0
4
McClement
Erat
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
2
0
McClement
Erat
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Erat
0
1
McClement
Erat
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Erat
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (591)
46.3% (80)
+8.2%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
51.2% (41)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (263)
40.0% (5)
+4.9%
On power play, Erat has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Erat shoots left. McClement is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (590).
McClement shoots left. Erat is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (74).
Home / Away
McClement
Erat
Home
55.5% (422)
60.9% (64)
Away
47.5% (451)
33.9% (62)
By Period
McClement
Erat
P1
50.2%
41.9%
P2
49.5%
47.2%
P3
54.3%
54.3%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
51.3%
Erat
38.0%▼
43.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 08:58 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 2 | 05:54 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 09:50 | Neutral | Martin Erat |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 00:31 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 08:35 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 1 | 07:18 | Defensive | Jay McClement |