Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Erat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). McClement wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Erat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 52.7% vs Erat 46.8% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Erat 90.4%
Defensive zone
McClement 66.5%
Neutral zone
Erat 76.8%
Result
Martin Erat favored at 74.5%
25.5%
74.5%
McClement
Erat
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
McClement
Erat
Last 8: McClement 2-6 Erat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Erat
0
5
McClement
Erat
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
2
0
McClement
Erat
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Erat
0
1
McClement
Erat
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Erat
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (4,305)
46.7% (321)
+7.7%
Power Play
62.5% (104)
45.5% (101)
+17.0%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,440)
41.4% (29)
+5.8%
On power play, McClement has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Erat shoots left. McClement is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
McClement shoots left. Erat is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
McClement
Erat
Home
55.4% (2,788)
53.2% (252)
Away
50.4% (3,083)
37.2% (199)
By Period
McClement
Erat
P1
53.5%
43.4%
P2
52.0%
45.8%
P3
53.2%
50.0%
OT
47.9%
16.7%
Final 5 min
52.4%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
Erat
38.0%▼
43.5%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 08:58 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 2 | 05:54 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 09:50 | Neutral | Martin Erat |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 00:31 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 08:35 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 1 | 07:18 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 2 | 18:27 | Offensive | Martin Erat |