Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 51.5% vs Duchene 50.4% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 65.0%
Defensive zone
McClement 84.5%
Neutral zone
McClement 54.2%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
McClement
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
McClement
Duchene
Last 9: McClement 6-3 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
McClement
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
2
0
McClement
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
4
2
McClement
Duchene
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (802)
50.5% (1,070)
+1.9%
Power Play
73.9% (23)
49.3% (136)
+24.6%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (314)
50.0% (20)
-2.9%
On power play, McClement has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. McClement is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (758).
McClement shoots left. Duchene is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (897).
Home / Away
McClement
Duchene
Home
57.6% (519)
49.8% (633)
Away
46.8% (633)
51.1% (613)
By Period
McClement
Duchene
P1
55.3%
51.0%
P2
51.7%
51.5%
P3
49.0%
49.1%
OT
31.6%
36.8%
Final 5 min
50.7%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
51.6%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2011 | 3 | 16:46 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 24, 2011 | 1 | 19:20 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 3 | 11:55 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 3 | 07:26 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 2 | 17:55 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 2 | 11:45 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 2 | 08:41 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 2 | 04:20 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 2 | 01:17 | Defensive | Jay McClement |