Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). McClement wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 52.7% vs Duchene 54.1% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 77.3%
Defensive zone
McClement 84.8%
Neutral zone
McClement 54.3%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
McClement
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
12
(22 meetings)
10
12
McClement
Duchene
Last 10: McClement 4-6 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
6
McClement
Duchene
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
2
1
McClement
Duchene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
6
5
McClement
Duchene
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (4,305)
53.9% (10,396)
+0.5%
Power Play
62.5% (104)
56.9% (1,665)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,440)
49.1% (468)
-1.9%
On power play, McClement has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. McClement is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
McClement shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Home / Away
McClement
Duchene
Home
55.4% (2,788)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
50.4% (3,083)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
McClement
Duchene
P1
53.5%
54.5%
P2
52.0%
54.5%
P3
53.2%
53.4%
OT
47.9%
56.3%
Final 5 min
52.4%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2017 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 2 | 13:56 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 17, 2017 | OT | 01:52 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 17, 2017 | 2 | 01:14 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 17, 2017 | 1 | 03:33 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 2 | 14:54 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 2 | 10:45 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 1 | 08:49 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 21, 2015 | 2 | 19:24 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Oct 21, 2015 | 1 | 19:59 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Oct 21, 2015 | 1 | 19:34 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 21, 2015 | 1 | 17:31 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 3 | 08:42 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 24, 2011 | 3 | 16:46 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 24, 2011 | 1 | 19:20 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 3 | 11:55 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 3 | 07:26 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 2 | 17:55 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 2 | 11:45 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 2 | 08:41 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |