Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. McClement wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 53.4% vs Gaustad 57.4% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McClement 63.1%
Defensive zone
McClement 61.5%
Neutral zone
McClement 63.1%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
McClement
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
McClement
Gaustad
Last 5: McClement 1-4 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McClement
Gaustad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
McClement
Gaustad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
2
McClement
Gaustad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (927)
59.3% (913)
-3.6%
Power Play
75.0% (12)
72.2% (18)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (321)
52.8% (269)
-5.8%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. McClement is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (811).
McClement shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
McClement
Gaustad
Home
55.9% (571)
58.6% (604)
Away
51.8% (689)
57.4% (596)
By Period
McClement
Gaustad
P1
55.8%
61.5%
P2
52.3%
55.7%
P3
53.3%
56.6%
OT
52.4%
75.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
53.7%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2013 | 1 | 17:22 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 3 | 05:38 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 2 | 19:54 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 2 | 19:51 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 1 | 14:04 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |