Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). McClement wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 52.7% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
McClement 72.6%
Defensive zone
McClement 78.5%
Neutral zone
McClement 60.1%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 72.1%
72.1%
27.9%
McClement
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
12
(21 meetings)
9
12
McClement
Gaustad
Last 10: McClement 4-6 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
3
4
McClement
Gaustad
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
4
5
McClement
Gaustad
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
2
3
McClement
Gaustad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (4,305)
58.2% (4,334)
-3.8%
Power Play
62.5% (104)
65.4% (188)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,440)
54.8% (1,290)
-7.6%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. McClement is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
McClement shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
McClement
Gaustad
Home
55.4% (2,788)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
50.4% (3,083)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
McClement
Gaustad
P1
53.5%
58.2%
P2
52.0%
56.4%
P3
53.2%
58.3%
OT
47.9%
66.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 13:01 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 3 | 09:29 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 2 | 17:46 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 2 | 05:38 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 06:52 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 01:47 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 1 | 17:22 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 3 | 05:38 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 2 | 19:54 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 2 | 19:51 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 1 | 14:04 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 04:29 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 09:53 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 09:47 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 01:58 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 01:50 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 01:47 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 01:55 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 01:59 | Neutral | Jay McClement |