Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McClement wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Varone shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 55.0% vs Varone 46.2% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McClement 58.2%
Defensive zone
McClement 84.3%
Neutral zone
McClement 81.9%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 76.9%
76.9%
23.1%
McClement
Varone
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
McClement
Varone
Last 8: McClement 5-3 Varone
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McClement
Varone
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Varone
1
2
McClement
Varone
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
3
0
McClement
Varone
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Varone
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (714)
45.4% (315)
+11.7%
Power Play
51.4% (37)
36.4% (11)
+15.0%
On power play, McClement has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Varone shoots left. McClement is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (640).
McClement shoots left. Varone is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (188).
Home / Away
McClement
Varone
Home
55.8% (475)
44.5% (119)
Away
55.1% (515)
45.4% (207)
By Period
McClement
Varone
P1
55.6%
44.5%
P2
57.3%
38.6%
P3
53.2%
53.5%
OT
54.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.7%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
55.5%
Varone
40.0%▼
50.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2015 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | Phil Varone |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 2 | 16:48 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 2 | 06:02 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 1 | 06:27 | Defensive | Phil Varone |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 3 | 17:58 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 2 | 05:28 | Offensive | Phil Varone |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 2 | 02:50 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 1 | 17:20 | Offensive | Jay McClement |