Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McClement wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Varone shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 52.7% vs Varone 47.7% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Varone 50.8%
Defensive zone
McClement 88.0%
Neutral zone
McClement 77.9%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
McClement
Varone
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
McClement
Varone
Last 8: McClement 5-3 Varone
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McClement
Varone
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Varone
1
2
McClement
Varone
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
3
0
McClement
Varone
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Varone
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (4,305)
47.5% (575)
+6.9%
Power Play
62.5% (104)
38.5% (13)
+24.0%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,440)
50.0% (2)
-2.8%
On power play, McClement has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Varone shoots left. McClement is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
McClement shoots left. Varone is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (365).
Home / Away
McClement
Varone
Home
55.4% (2,788)
48.0% (221)
Away
50.4% (3,083)
46.9% (369)
By Period
McClement
Varone
P1
53.5%
50.0%
P2
52.0%
42.7%
P3
53.2%
50.0%
OT
47.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.4%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
Varone
40.0%▼
50.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2015 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | Phil Varone |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 2 | 16:48 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 2 | 06:02 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 1 | 06:27 | Defensive | Phil Varone |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 3 | 17:58 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 2 | 05:28 | Offensive | Phil Varone |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 2 | 02:50 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 1 | 17:20 | Offensive | Jay McClement |