Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). McClement wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Pelley shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 52.7% vs Pelley 51.0% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McClement 52.8%
Defensive zone
McClement 79.3%
Neutral zone
McClement 66.5%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
McClement
Pelley
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
McClement
Pelley
Last 8: McClement 6-2 Pelley
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
5
0
McClement
Pelley
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pelley
1
2
McClement
Pelley
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Pelley
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (4,305)
51.4% (440)
+3.0%
Power Play
62.5% (104)
25.0% (8)
+37.5%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,440)
50.8% (118)
-3.6%
On power play, McClement has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pelley shoots left. McClement is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
McClement shoots left. Pelley is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
McClement
Pelley
Home
55.4% (2,788)
52.9% (221)
Away
50.4% (3,083)
50.1% (353)
By Period
McClement
Pelley
P1
53.5%
50.8%
P2
52.0%
49.3%
P3
53.2%
53.8%
OT
47.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
Pelley
50.0%▬
49.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2012 | 3 | 17:46 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 12, 2012 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 12, 2012 | 1 | 17:46 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 12, 2012 | 1 | 04:27 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 3 | 19:18 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 3 | 14:46 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 2 | 02:51 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 1 | 01:40 | Defensive | Jay McClement |