Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 27 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 52.7% vs Kesler 55.9% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
McClement leads 33-32 in 65 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 68.2%
Defensive zone
McClement 71.6%
Neutral zone
Kesler 50.8%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
McClement
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
33
-
32
(65 meetings)
33
32
McClement
Kesler
Last 10: McClement 7-3 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
4
23
McClement
Kesler
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
22
3
McClement
Kesler
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
7
6
McClement
Kesler
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (4,305)
56.4% (8,095)
-2.0%
Power Play
62.5% (104)
60.7% (1,437)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,440)
50.5% (1,908)
-3.3%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. McClement is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,069).
McClement shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
McClement
Kesler
Home
55.4% (2,788)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
50.4% (3,083)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
McClement
Kesler
P1
53.5%
56.5%
P2
52.0%
55.9%
P3
53.2%
56.1%
OT
47.9%
46.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2016 | OT | 01:36 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 3 | 06:20 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 3 | 04:34 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 09:01 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 1 | 16:55 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 1 | 16:50 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 3 | 11:20 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 3 | 09:18 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 2 | 15:41 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 2 | 08:09 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 08:44 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 08:27 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 2 | 16:10 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 2 | 14:02 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 1 | 13:54 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 1 | 12:46 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 3 | 09:44 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 3 | 01:25 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 2 | 16:34 | Defensive | Jay McClement |