Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). McClement wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 52.7% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
McClement 52.8%
Defensive zone
McClement 88.2%
Neutral zone
McClement 72.5%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
McClement
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
12
(18 meetings)
6
12
McClement
O'Reilly
Last 10: McClement 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
9
McClement
O'Reilly
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
4
2
McClement
O'Reilly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McClement
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (4,305)
56.2% (15,260)
-1.8%
Power Play
62.5% (104)
58.8% (3,445)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,440)
51.4% (2,811)
-4.2%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. McClement is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
McClement shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
McClement
O'Reilly
Home
55.4% (2,788)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
50.4% (3,083)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
McClement
O'Reilly
P1
53.5%
55.6%
P2
52.0%
57.0%
P3
53.2%
55.1%
OT
47.9%
62.2%
Final 5 min
52.4%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2017 | 3 | 12:21 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 3 | 12:02 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 04:24 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 02:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 17:23 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 09:08 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 05:36 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 2 | 13:15 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 2 | 08:11 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 2 | 01:24 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 2 | 06:58 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 3 | 14:57 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 2 | 06:23 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 3 | 13:33 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 1 | 07:35 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 1 | 03:22 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 1 | 00:54 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |