Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 26 meetings). McClement wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 52.7% vs Horcoff 49.6% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Horcoff leads 30-20 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Horcoff 75.9%
Defensive zone
McClement 61.0%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 59.7%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
McClement
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
30
(50 meetings)
20
30
McClement
Horcoff
Last 10: McClement 4-6 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
6
20
McClement
Horcoff
26 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
9
2
McClement
Horcoff
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horcoff
5
8
McClement
Horcoff
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (4,305)
50.6% (3,133)
+3.8%
Power Play
62.5% (104)
51.4% (555)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,440)
43.0% (567)
+4.2%
On power play, McClement has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. McClement is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
McClement shoots left. Horcoff is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,000).
Home / Away
McClement
Horcoff
Home
55.4% (2,788)
51.1% (2,199)
Away
50.4% (3,083)
48.0% (2,104)
By Period
McClement
Horcoff
P1
53.5%
48.2%
P2
52.0%
49.5%
P3
53.2%
50.9%
OT
47.9%
51.9%
Final 5 min
52.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2015 | 3 | 01:38 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 1 | 15:42 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 1 | 08:16 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 1 | 02:28 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 1 | 02:19 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 16:22 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 2 | 18:54 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 2 | 12:51 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 5, 2013 | OT | 02:06 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 5, 2013 | OT | 01:59 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 3 | 19:34 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 3 | 17:24 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 3 | 06:58 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 3 | 04:15 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 3 | 01:52 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 16:57 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |