Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.8% vs 53.5%). Look for McClement on defensive-zone draws (84% H2H, 25 meetings). McClement wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 52.7% vs Crosby 53.5% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 37-36 in 73 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 79.0%
Defensive zone
McClement 85.7%
Neutral zone
McClement 57.0%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
McClement
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
37
(73 meetings)
36
37
McClement
Crosby
Last 10: McClement 2-8 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
7
23
McClement
Crosby
30 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
21
4
McClement
Crosby
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
8
10
McClement
Crosby
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (4,305)
52.8% (17,990)
+1.6%
Power Play
62.5% (104)
57.4% (4,733)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,440)
47.1% (765)
+0.1%
On power play, McClement has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. McClement is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
McClement shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Home / Away
McClement
Crosby
Home
55.4% (2,788)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
50.4% (3,083)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
McClement
Crosby
P1
53.5%
53.6%
P2
52.0%
53.9%
P3
53.2%
53.3%
OT
47.9%
49.6%
Final 5 min
52.4%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2017 | 3 | 06:37 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 2 | 02:17 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 3 | 09:05 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 3 | 07:48 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 2 | 03:25 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 1 | 02:38 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2016 | 2 | 12:48 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 01:13 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 1 | 14:56 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 2 | 00:46 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 2 | 00:27 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 18:53 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 06:15 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 3 | 08:39 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 3 | 08:35 | Offensive | Jay McClement |