Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McClement wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kopecky shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 52.7% vs Kopecky 47.2% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McClement 57.4%
Defensive zone
McClement 95.9%
Neutral zone
McClement 89.0%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 84.6%
84.6%
15.4%
McClement
Kopecky
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
McClement
Kopecky
Last 8: McClement 7-1 Kopecky
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McClement
2
0
McClement
Kopecky
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
3
1
McClement
Kopecky
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
2
0
McClement
Kopecky
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Kopecky
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (4,305)
47.3% (438)
+7.1%
Power Play
62.5% (104)
42.3% (142)
+20.2%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,440)
51.3% (80)
-4.1%
On power play, McClement has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kopecky shoots left. McClement is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
McClement shoots left. Kopecky is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Home / Away
McClement
Kopecky
Home
55.4% (2,788)
51.9% (364)
Away
50.4% (3,083)
40.7% (305)
By Period
McClement
Kopecky
P1
53.5%
47.4%
P2
52.0%
42.5%
P3
53.2%
49.3%
OT
47.9%
58.8%
Final 5 min
52.4%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
Kopecky
38.0%▼
47.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2012 | 3 | 05:34 | Defensive | Tomas Kopecky |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 3 | 03:08 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 2 | 07:41 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 2 | 00:16 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 1 | 14:10 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 1 | 01:28 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 1 | 01:23 | Offensive | Jay McClement |