Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 49.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Megna 49.2% vs Larsson 49.5% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Megna 59.1%
Defensive zone
Larsson 54.5%
Neutral zone
Larsson 54.6%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Megna
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Megna
Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Megna
Larsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Megna
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (401)
50.5% (4,382)
-1.4%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
47.7% (153)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
43.8% (714)
+3.8%
On penalty kill, Megna has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Megna is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Megna shoots right. Larsson is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,847).
Home / Away
Megna
Larsson
Home
49.3% (227)
51.2% (2,493)
Away
48.6% (220)
48.0% (2,756)
By Period
Megna
Larsson
P1
51.7%
51.6%
P2
49.3%
49.7%
P3
46.3%
47.2%
Final 5 min
58.0%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Megna
46.0%▼
53.5%
49.0%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2021 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 2 | 17:02 | Defensive | Jayson Megna |