Scouting Report
Jayson Megna holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Megna wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Rantanen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Megna 51.7% vs Rantanen 49.2% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 87.0%
Defensive zone
Megna 87.2%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 60.4%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 72.1%
27.9%
72.1%
Megna
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Megna
Rantanen
Last 5: Megna 1-4 Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
4
Megna
Rantanen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Megna
1
0
Megna
Rantanen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Megna
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (251)
50.9% (334)
+2.9%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
43.7% (119)
-43.7%
On power play, Rantanen has a +43.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Megna is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Megna shoots right. Rantanen is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Home / Away
Megna
Rantanen
Home
50.4% (135)
49.4% (241)
Away
54.2% (144)
48.6% (212)
By Period
Megna
Rantanen
P1
60.9%
47.1%
P2
51.2%
46.7%
P3
45.7%
51.9%
Final 5 min
57.4%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Megna
46.0%▼
53.5%
52.3%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2023 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 3 | 07:16 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 3 | 01:41 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:46 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 2 | 19:36 | Defensive | Jayson Megna |