Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Megna 49.2% vs Frost 50.3% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 71.0%
Defensive zone
Megna 84.2%
Neutral zone
Megna 56.0%
Result
Jayson Megna favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Megna
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Megna
Frost
Last 5: Megna 2-3 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
Megna
Frost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Megna
2
0
Megna
Frost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Megna
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Megna
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (401)
49.4% (3,598)
-0.3%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
55.5% (625)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
52.8% (36)
-5.2%
On power play, Frost has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Megna is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Megna shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,477).
Home / Away
Megna
Frost
Home
49.3% (227)
51.0% (2,047)
Away
48.6% (220)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Megna
Frost
P1
51.7%
50.8%
P2
49.3%
51.1%
P3
46.3%
48.5%
Final 5 min
58.0%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Megna
46.0%▼
53.5%
49.0%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 14:19 | Defensive | Jayson Megna |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 10:17 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 06:24 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 09:04 | Defensive | Jayson Megna |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 04:50 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |