Scouting Report
Jayson Megna holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Megna 51.7% vs Dowd 50.7% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Megna 78.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 65.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 58.2%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
Megna
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Megna
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Megna
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Megna
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Megna
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (251)
55.2% (625)
-1.4%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
57.1% (7)
-57.1%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
38.2% (220)
+4.1%
On power play, Dowd has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Megna is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Megna shoots right. Dowd is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Megna
Dowd
Home
50.4% (135)
53.7% (445)
Away
54.2% (144)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Megna
Dowd
P1
60.9%
48.8%
P2
51.2%
49.3%
P3
45.7%
54.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Megna
46.0%▼
53.5%
52.3%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 18:29 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 18:20 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 18:11 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |