Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Megna 49.1% vs Brown 56.8% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Megna 67.0%
Defensive zone
Brown 67.8%
Neutral zone
Brown 58.8%
Result
Patrick Brown favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Megna
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Megna
Brown
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Megna
1
0
Megna
Brown
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brown
0
1
Megna
Brown
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Megna
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (101)
61.3% (336)
-14.8%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.0% (4)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (14)
45.9% (74)
+11.2%
On power play, Megna has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Megna is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (31).
Megna shoots right. Brown is 60.5% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Home / Away
Megna
Brown
Home
55.9% (59)
61.1% (180)
Away
40.4% (57)
56.4% (234)
By Period
Megna
Brown
P1
42.5%
57.5%
P2
48.5%
58.5%
P3
53.5%
59.2%
Final 5 min
60.0%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Megna
46.0%▼
53.5%
48.3%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2021 | 3 | 14:16 | Defensive | Jayson Megna |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 2 | 02:10 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |