Scouting Report
Jayson Megna holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Megna on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Megna wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Megna 51.7% vs Kuraly 49.7% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Megna 72.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 66.9%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 51.4%
Result
Jayson Megna favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Megna
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Megna
Kuraly
Last 6: Megna 3-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Megna
2
1
Megna
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Megna
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Megna
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Megna
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (251)
49.2% (901)
+4.6%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
68.2% (22)
-68.2%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
49.8% (219)
-7.5%
On power play, Kuraly has a +68.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Megna is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Megna shoots right. Kuraly is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Megna
Kuraly
Home
50.4% (135)
51.7% (603)
Away
54.2% (144)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Megna
Kuraly
P1
60.9%
50.9%
P2
51.2%
49.5%
P3
45.7%
49.1%
Final 5 min
57.4%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Megna
46.0%▼
53.5%
52.3%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 05:35 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 02:32 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 06:28 | Offensive | Jayson Megna |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 15:10 | Neutral | Jayson Megna |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 15:01 | Offensive | Jayson Megna |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 07:09 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |