Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 53.0%). Look for Crosby on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Megna wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Megna 51.7% vs Crosby 52.8% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 76.7%
Defensive zone
Megna 86.1%
Neutral zone
Megna 62.1%
Result
Jayson Megna favored at 78.1%
78.1%
21.9%
Megna
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Megna
Crosby
Last 6: Megna 2-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
3
Megna
Crosby
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Megna
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Megna
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (251)
52.5% (1,443)
+1.3%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
54.7% (369)
-54.7%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
55.9% (34)
-13.6%
On power play, Crosby has a +54.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Megna is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Megna shoots right. Crosby is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (647).
Home / Away
Megna
Crosby
Home
50.4% (135)
53.0% (931)
Away
54.2% (144)
53.0% (915)
By Period
Megna
Crosby
P1
60.9%
50.3%
P2
51.2%
55.4%
P3
45.7%
53.3%
Final 5 min
57.4%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Megna
46.0%▼
53.5%
52.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2023 | 3 | 11:53 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 3 | 08:32 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 2 | 03:18 | Neutral | Jayson Megna |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 14:14 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 02:29 | Defensive | Jayson Megna |