Scouting Report
Jayson Megna holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Megna on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Megna wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Megna 51.7% vs Jost 40.8% (+13.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Megna 74.4%
Defensive zone
Megna 87.2%
Neutral zone
Megna 80.7%
Result
Jayson Megna favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Megna
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Megna
Jost
Last 5: Megna 4-1 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Megna
Jost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Megna
3
0
Megna
Jost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Megna
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (251)
41.8% (388)
+12.0%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
0.0% (3)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
21.7% (60)
+20.6%
On penalty kill, Megna has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Megna is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Megna shoots right. Jost is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Megna
Jost
Home
50.4% (135)
42.6% (230)
Away
54.2% (144)
34.8% (221)
By Period
Megna
Jost
P1
60.9%
43.2%
P2
51.2%
38.2%
P3
45.7%
34.6%
Final 5 min
57.4%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Megna
46.0%▼
53.5%
52.3%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
38.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2023 | 3 | 14:43 | Neutral | Jayson Megna |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 3 | 14:21 | Offensive | Jayson Megna |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 2 | 07:48 | Neutral | Jayson Megna |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 13:40 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 17:16 | Neutral | Jayson Megna |