Connor Dewar vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dewar on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.5% vs Pageau 55.0% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 71.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 82.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 70.1%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 76.3%
23.7%
76.3%
Dewar
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Dewar
Pageau
Last 6: Dewar 4-2 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
1
0
Dewar
Pageau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
2
1
Dewar
Pageau
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dewar
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (331)
57.1% (905)
-10.9%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
55.2% (116)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (68)
48.0% (204)
+2.0%
On even strength, Pageau has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Dewar is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Dewar shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Dewar
Pageau
Home
43.9% (189)
57.0% (618)
Away
49.3% (221)
53.9% (607)
By Period
Dewar
Pageau
P1
50.4%
54.4%
P2
50.0%
61.0%
P3
40.8%
51.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.8%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 19:21 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 16:09 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 17:55 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 02:05 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 16:58 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 18:37 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |