Curtis Lazar vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.0% vs Pageau 53.2% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 50.8%
Defensive zone
Lazar 56.1%
Neutral zone
Lazar 57.1%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Lazar
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Lazar
Pageau
Last 8: Lazar 3-5 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
4
Lazar
Pageau
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (286)
53.5% (826)
+0.3%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
59.2% (120)
-25.9%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (72)
50.2% (203)
-8.5%
On power play, Pageau has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Lazar is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Lazar shoots right. Pageau is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Lazar
Pageau
Home
53.1% (211)
55.7% (618)
Away
48.7% (150)
51.0% (531)
By Period
Lazar
Pageau
P1
45.3%
52.5%
P2
52.8%
56.1%
P3
54.7%
50.8%
OT
60.0%
61.3%
Final 5 min
58.8%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.2%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2020 | 3 | 12:21 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 3 | 05:20 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 2 | 13:47 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 1 | 15:45 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 28, 2020 | 2 | 08:48 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 28, 2020 | 2 | 04:03 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 07:12 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 03:41 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |