Derick Brassard vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Brassard wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.0% vs Pageau 56.7% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 55.6%
Defensive zone
Pageau 67.7%
Neutral zone
Pageau 63.4%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 64.4%
35.6%
64.4%
Brassard
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Brassard
Pageau
Last 9: Brassard 5-4 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Pageau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
1
Brassard
Pageau
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
3
Brassard
Pageau
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (230)
58.8% (889)
-9.2%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
58.2% (182)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (30)
48.6% (185)
+1.4%
On even strength, Pageau has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Brassard is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Brassard shoots left. Pageau is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Brassard
Pageau
Home
51.7% (143)
59.0% (595)
Away
48.3% (143)
55.7% (661)
By Period
Brassard
Pageau
P1
46.4%
58.9%
P2
50.6%
57.9%
P3
53.9%
55.6%
Final 5 min
56.9%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 18:50 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 07:23 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 18:06 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 1 | 14:22 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 1 | 10:44 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 1 | 00:22 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |